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Jim Hudson's avatar

Great perspective. As I glance around the globe, so many countries out there are under "power" rulers. Some may be actual dictators while others just seek to present the most powerful front for their countries against others either regionally or globally. It's been widely written that many of the leaders in the middle-east / S. West Asia regions only respect power. So while the current administration seems bent on moving from soft-power to a more aggressive stance, I have to wonder if the potential gains we make in playing hardball with those power rulers will outweigh the losses we get with other democracies who rely on soft-power engagement and proceed to distance themselves from the U.S.?

And as the tariff battle rages on, I think it's interesting that in some ways, this is how we ended up getting surprised in Pearl Harbor. Per the History Channel website:

"Tokyo and Washington negotiated for months leading up to the Pearl Harbor attack, without success. While the United States hoped embargoes on oil and other key goods would lead Japan to halt its expansionism, the sanctions and other penalties actually convinced Japan to stand its ground, and stirred up the anger of its people against continued Western interference in Asian affairs. To Japan, war with the United States had become to seem inevitable, in order to defend its status as a major world power. Because the odds were stacked against them, their only chance was the element of surprise." Japan attacked us primarily due to a need for natural resources (oil and steel) which had been cut off from them by U.S. sanctions.

Every system (i.e., country) has a breaking point. What's unknown is how and when that point is reached and what their response will be. Having ears in the international forums seems to be a prudent move to hear the discontented voices ahead of time.

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