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Jim Hudson's avatar

Great discussion! Just a few thoughts.

We have some close friend who retired from the Navy and now live in Western Oregon about an hour south of Portland. The wife is certainly on the liberal side of discussions. Not sure about the husband…he doesn’t share much about that. On her FB page, she regularly bashes Trump and pushes a lot of the democratic party agenda points. She knows I lean to the right and we have some great discussions over things we just don’t agree on. But we do agree to be friends. See… it is possible. Like many in a politically bifurcated friendship, we have our “red-lines” which we’ll push up to but not cross. We agree the friendship is more important in the long-run.

Yesterday I sent her a text asking if she attended the No Kings rally in Portland. Instead of answering yes or no, she answered: “would we not be on your Christmas card list if we had?” I told her: “no… but if you did go, you’re probably now on George Soros and Neville Roy Singham's Christmas card lists” … in reference to recent media reporting indicating Soros and Singham are pumping money and organizational support to the No Kings gatherings. I’m not sure if that information is 100% accurate as its primarily coming from one right-leaning source, but it wouldn’t surprise me for both of them to take advantage of anti-administration protests to further their agendas. She responded back that her and her husband didn’t attend mainly because they had been “knee deep in plants and dirt.”

I found that response interesting given her passion for all things anti-Trump. Apparently last Saturday, “normal” life of planting, pulling weeds and enjoying a rare sunny day in semi-coastal Oregon won-out over politics…and I think that applies to a lot of folks across the country…its just that we never see that on the news.

Secondly, I saw a crazy (at least on the surface) rant from James Carville the other day. Honestly, the guy needs to find a hobby to save his blood pressure... but I digress. What he posted was his prediction that if the Republicans lose in the mid-terms and the Democrats regain control of Congress, President Trump will resign.

Again, on the surface, I think most would say that would never happen…mainly because of Trumps ego. However, the more I thought about it, the more I wouldn’t exactly rule that out. There is no doubt Trump hates to lose. And more than that…I think (from all observations) he cherishes and craves power. Who knows…maybe he does want to be a king. So I started looking at it from Trumps point of view. He’s a lame-duck President who can’t get re-elected. If he loses Congress, none of his agenda will move forward. His last two years will be mainly Executive Orders and a lot of frustration. There is also little doubt that if the Dems get control of Congress, impeachment proceedings for Trump will be on their agenda on Day-1. In short, his last 2 years will fending off attacks, law-suits, political roadblocks and potentially watching much that he’s tried to do be dismantled. For a guy who thrives on being right, in control, in charge and in the spotlight…this could be a bridge too far.

So thinking it through… he could resign which would elevate JD Vance. True, Vance wouldn’t have much power in that situation (same as Trump) but I would project Vance would make his 2 year focus on battling Democratic agendas and “holding the line.” He might become the sacrificial lamb who is not electable for the next presidency…but held ground enough to maybe allow Rubio a clean shot. Oh… and he’d probably promptly issue a blanket pardon to Trump for all and everything he ever did or could do. Trump may take a hit in some ways but he’d spin it from the standpoint of walking away at the top of his game…on his terms…and I think that’s a huge motivator for him. He came in as a non-traditional “change agent.” Going out this way would be largely unprecedented…but highly strategic.

There are no uncomplicated political days in Washington D.C. If they added some kind of physical component to the back and forth I’d wager they’d outsell NFL games! While the energy is real, I think a lot of the country is still living in that quieter middle—focused on everyday life rather than sustained political action. Until that changes, I’m not sure the kind of momentum you’re talking about fully materializes.

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